Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000542 0.000626 0.000716 0.000819 0.000933 0.001055 0.001195
2025-06-29 0.000405 0.000520 0.000651 0.000812 0.001001 0.001216 0.001477
2025-07-06 0.000328 0.000453 0.000604 0.000797 0.001035 0.001315 0.001666
2025-07-13 0.000287 0.000421 0.000592 0.000819 0.001107 0.001457 0.001907
2025-07-20 0.000252 0.000393 0.000578 0.000833 0.001167 0.001581 0.002127
2025-07-27 0.000216 0.000356 0.000549 0.000823 0.001192 0.001662 0.002292
2025-08-03 0.000183 0.000320 0.000516 0.000804 0.001202 0.001719 0.002427
2025-08-10 0.000164 0.000302 0.000506 0.000814 0.001249 0.001826 0.002626
2025-08-17 0.000146 0.000284 0.000494 0.000819 0.001288 0.001920 0.002811
2025-08-24 0.000122 0.000253 0.000459 0.000789 0.001276 0.001944 0.002901
2025-08-31 0.000103 0.000226 0.000429 0.000761 0.001265 0.001968 0.002990
2025-09-07 0.000091 0.000211 0.000415 0.000759 0.001289 0.002041 0.003147
2025-09-14 0.000081 0.000198 0.000404 0.000759 0.001318 0.002121 0.003315
2025-09-21 0.000070 0.000183 0.000388 0.000752 0.001333 0.002182 0.003460
2025-09-28 0.000061 0.000168 0.000371 0.000738 0.001339 0.002228 0.003583
2025-10-05 0.000057 0.000164 0.000373 0.000758 0.001397 0.002352 0.003819
2025-10-12 0.000052 0.000158 0.000371 0.000772 0.001444 0.002461 0.004036
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000147 0.000357 0.000763 0.001455 0.002515 0.004173
2025-10-26 0.000039 0.000134 0.000339 0.000745 0.001450 0.002545 0.004275
2025-11-02 0.000035 0.000129 0.000336 0.000754 0.001490 0.002644 0.004481
2025-11-09 0.000032 0.000123 0.000331 0.000758 0.001522 0.002730 0.004669
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000110 0.000309 0.000730 0.001497 0.002727 0.004722
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000098 0.000289 0.000704 0.001474 0.002726 0.004778